AUSTRALASIA –
Australia’s used car market continues its downward spiral with November sales plunging 6.4%. Every state, segment and top-selling model declined as dealer margins face mounting pressure heading into December.
Used car sales have dipped, according to AADA stats. November sales fell 6.4% to 193,266 vehicles as every state and segment contracted, according to the latest Automotive Insights Report (AIR) from the Australian Automotive Dealer Association and AutoGrab.
The figure caps five consecutive months of deterioration. Sales have now fallen 9.3% since July, when the market moved 206,216 units.
“November saw a clear softening across the board, with fewer buyers active in the market and a gradual reduction in stock levels,” said AADA CEO James Voortman.
“This softer activity is something many dealers will recognise on the ground – fewer leads, longer days to sell, and a shift towards more deliberate consumer purchasing behaviour.”
While the association’s summary strikes a measured tone, the underlying data reveal accelerating stress across multiple indicators.
Regional Performance Deteriorates
Victoria recorded the sharpest decline among major markets, with sales down 9.2% to 46,982 units. Western Australia fell 10.1% to 25,693 units – a dramatic reversal from July, when the state posted 2.3% growth and was the nation’s strongest performer.
New South Wales declined by 4.6%, Queensland by 3.8%, and South Australia by 3.8%. The Northern Territory collapsed 20% to just 560 units, though small absolute volumes suggest local factors at play.
Total active listings fell 3.5% to 313,781 vehicles, the lowest level since July. Combined with the sharper sales decline, this suggests demand is falling faster than supply can adjust.
Velocity Reverses Course
Average days to sell jumped to 46.7 days in November, up from 42.4 days in September – a 10.1% increase that reverses three months of improvement.
The Ford Ranger, Australia’s best-selling used vehicle, now averages 55.9 days to sell, up from 43.8 days in September. The Toyota Hilux extended to 46.9 days from 38.3, while the Toyota LandCruiser Prado stretched to 52.1 days from 39.8.
When days to sell rise despite falling prices, it typically indicates weakening demand rather than consumer caution.
All Top Sellers Decline
Every vehicle in the top-10 rankings posted month-on-month declines. The Toyota RAV4 fell 16.1% to 1870 sales, the steepest drop among major models. The Toyota Hilux declined 12.7% to 4143 units, while the Mitsubishi Triton fell 10.8% to 2187 sales.
The Ford Ranger held the top position with 5671 sales, down 6.5% from October.
Commercial Segment Weakness
Light commercial vans and buses recorded the sharpest segment decline, down 14.3% to 5395 sales. Business vehicle purchases often signal broader economic conditions, as commercial buyers tend to pull back before private consumers.
Utes declined 8.8% to 34,445 sales, SUVs fell 6.2% to 83,746 units, and passenger cars dropped 4.7% to 69,680 sales.
Fuel Type Divergence
Contrary to the association’s assertion that fuel types declined evenly, electric vehicle listings crashed 22.7% to 5289 units while sales fell 13.9% to 2783 vehicles. Victoria’s EV listings alone dropped 21.9%.
Hybrid sales plunged 11.1% to 13,138 units, reversing the 8% growth recorded between July and September. The reversal suggests the earlier increase reflected a manufacturer’s inventory push rather than a sustained demand shift.
Diesel sales declined 7.6% to 60,831 units, while petrol fell 5% to 116,038 sales.
Value Retention Pressures
Retained values declined across all segments. Three-year-old passenger cars fell 1.9 percentage points to 81.4% in a single month, while 2024-model SUVs dropped to 92.6% from 94.3% in October.
The combination of falling sales, rising inventory age and accelerating depreciation creates margin pressure for dealers heading into the typically critical December trading period.
Private sellers now represent 49.7% of total volume, up from 46.9% in September, suggesting either increased distressed selling or reduced dealer pricing competitiveness.
AADA’s November AIR can be downloaded here